🌀 Codex Brief 2 Is Live — C-Wave Confirmed — Structure Repeats

in LeoFinance7 days ago (edited)

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Intro

Since November 22, 2025, Codex has documented one continuous structure — mapped before noise, logged before hype, and now unfolding almost candle for candle.

Brief 1 mapped the breakdown the day before 80.5k snapped.
The 11 Silent Entries were taken quietly on Jan 30–31 — the mirror of the June 23 entries, but in reverse.
And now, with the weekly wick printed and momentum fading, the C‑wave is confirmed.

Weekly BTC — same chart used in Public Brief 2. The yellow box highlights the expected consolidation phase under A.


BTC Outlook

BTC has now entered the same mid‑cycle consolidation seen in 2022:

  • Week 1: capitulation wick → complete
  • Week 2–3: controlled drift (low momentum, compression)
  • Week 4: lower‑high window
  • Week 5: stabilization above wick
  • Week 6: breakdown → weekly close under the 200W MA

This is structural rhythm — not prediction.
The model adapts if the market deviates.


A Quick Look Back — November’s Model Just Played Out

On November 27, 2025, I logged the following in my journal:

“1 month consolidation under A → breakdown → target 200W MA 60k.”

That was the structural roadmap for the AB‑phase.

Journal log — November 27, 2025. The AB‑phase playbook calling for “1 month consolidation under A → breakdown → 200W MA 60k.” Current price action is following the same rhythm.

Since then:

  • 4 of the 6 planned rotations of the AB‑wave played out cleanly
  • structure shifted exactly where Brief 1 described
  • the breakdown confirmed the model
  • the 11 silent entries executed before the move all hit
  • and BTC is now doing the one thing the model expected next:

Consolidating under A.

We are standing inside the exact window described in November 2025 —
and today, the full playbook for this consolidation phase has been sent to Tier 1 early backers.


Quick Update — B→C Wave Short (Setup 2)

As mentioned in the 11 Silent Entries post, the B→C wave short from Setup 2 was positioned as a multi‑month hold.

The fractal played out cleanly:

BTC & ETH fractal updates — continuation of the B→C wave short from Setup 2. Structure followed the same rhythm outlined in the AB‑playbook.

This is the same structural sequence that Brief 2 now expands on — the C‑phase consolidation model.


Brief 2 — The C‑Phase Roadmap (Weeks 1–6)

Today’s Codex Brief 2 covers:

  • the full C‑phase consolidation model
  • Week‑1 wick → Week‑6 breakdown rhythm
  • the wick‑low retest region
  • the 200W MA interaction
  • diminishing‑returns context
  • and the deviation markers that ended the A→B wave early

This is the roadmap for the next 5–6 weeks — the same rhythm that played out in 2022, now repeating with diminishing returns.

No signals.
No hype.
Just structure.


Early Backers — Roadmap Sent by Email

As with the ALTs Tier 2 update, the Tier 1 PDF has been sent directly to all current pledgers while Stripe is being finalized.

Early‑backer tier is still open — 50% lifetime discount until paid tiers officially launch.

Full Brief 2 (C‑phase roadmap) is here:
https://codexbrief.substack.com/p/feb-9-2026-codex-brief-2-consolidation

For those who want the full archive as it unfolds, not after the fact:
https://codexbrief.substack.com/subscribe

Hive remains the public archive.
Substack continues the chronology — clean, timestamped, and sustainable.

The next chapter is already being documented.


© 2025 Codex Research.
All proprietary content, analysis, format and structure are protected.
Redistribution requires written permission.
Not financial advice.


Tradejournal Links (Private Archive)

These aren’t signals. They’re echoes — timestamps left behind in my private journal. Codex is memory in motion, and these links are the proof. For my own reference.

🔗 Codex Reflection — BTC Fractal 2022 vs 2025 (Nov 27, 2025)
🔗 BTC Result snapshot (Feb 7)
🔗 ETH Result snapshot (Feb 7)


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Latest post, check out :
🌀 Codex Brief — A Rare Tactical Window Inside ALTs


Christopher

Kristiansand, Norway

Source: Photos are chart-screenshots by me from Tradingview.com and screenshots from my personal trading journal.


Legal Disclaimer : Never invest more than what you can afford to lose. I am not a financial advisor and I am sharing my opinion based on speculation. This post is for informational purposes only and provides only my personal opinion. If you make any trades after reading this post, it is completely in your responsibility. I am not responsible for any of your losses. By reading this post you acknowledge and accept that.

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🌀 Tagging the Codex crew
@zekepickleman @ph1102 @mypathtofire @nenio @tobetada @iyanpol12 @libertycrypto27 @takhar @heroldius @ekavieka

Next update is live — C‑wave confirmed.
This post shows the outlook for the next phase in the structure we’ve been tracking together since Codex VIII.

If you prefer not to be tagged in future Codex updates, just let me know.

Nothing like the technicals making sense of a wild bear run! Nice!

Well written!
I saw where BTC was going, since when the price was at 107,000$. I told them on Binance square. My prediction was a drop to $55k, I now perceive that it might drop lower to $38k.

If this play continues to the downside.

I never expected BTC to drop as low as $50k but by the looks it is not that far off, anything can happen when it comes to the market.