WTF is going on with MSTX?

in #stocks6 days ago (edited)

Ok, I'm completely stumped here.

I hold MSTX, which is basically 2X Leveraged MSTR. I sell covered calls on this position almost every week for really nice gains. This means I offer a contract (option) to sell my shares at a specific price (strike price) , if the price doesn't exceed this strike price I keep the fee (premium) for this contract and my shares. If it goes over this price, I am forced to sell these shares (I get assigned) at that price, but I still keep the premium.

I've been doing this for a long time, last year there was a surprise $14.43 dividend per share on December 31st that no one expecting. This was a massive payout, but it also resulted in the stock dropping in value far more than the dividends.

You can see the massive fall off a the December divs. It has yet to come close to those highs but buying the dip I've done really well with the position even before selling covered calls. My APR on covered calls is 50-100% typically with realized probably around 60% APR. This is due to some weeks having to buy back my covered calls to not be assigned. This is sometimes at a reduced premium but still profitable, and sometimes at a loss.

This week I had a covered call for $38. I didn't think this week would be a big week for MSTX, but I really want to be holding it for next week so I was a little more protective than normal. $38 was a very tight covered call when it was trading at $36 or so. Meaning I had higher than normal risk of being assigned unless the price went down or just didn't move much.

I do weekly covered calls on my assets, and by Tuesday MSTX was already at my strike price and to buy back the contract would been a loss. Later today while the price was over my strike price, I saw an opportunity to buy my covered call and still make around 10% of the premium.

While not ideal, I'll take the win. It's a difference between $1.4K and $13K but didn't put me at risk of having my shares sold at a potentially lower than market price.

I didn't plan on doing cover calls next week, I think it will be a big week for bitcoin and I didn't want to put my shares at risk. Until I looked.

I checked what the premium would be for next week, I didn't plan on selling covered calls but I like to know what my options are (pun intended).

What would normally be $5K-22K in premium, was now $150K.

For some reason the option is adjusted with 100 multiplier. This is usually due to a split or some other major event coming. I've looked everywhere, I can't find a thing that would be related to this. The only thing I could find is two additional MSTR leveraged ETF's being announced. This wouldn't affect MSTX, and not by this amount.

I found this tweet about new MSTR ETFs, one is similar to MSTX but focuses on gains and giving regular dividends. The other being a short on MSTR. These aren't even from the same investment group so I find it hard to believe it is remotely related.

The funny thing, a $40 covered call (~$2.5 out of they money) is about $12 per contract, but if you go further out, instead of being higher, it's only like $2.

A $40 covered call was giving me 32% of my base investment in premium. This means the price would have to go from about $37.91 to over $50 next Friday for me to lose money over doing nothing. Anything less than that, I still keep the premium. Ideally the price stays below $40 next week, and I keep everything. Anything less than $50 is ideal, but honestly I couldn't care if it went to $60 or even $70. I'll just buy it back on the dip.

One thing I did notice, my covered call is labeled as MSTX1 instead of MSTX. So something is definitely changing. Maybe they are splitting, who knows.

I'm so profitable on this trade, I am fine with getting assigned. In fact, I want to at some point before the end of the year, I'd love to keep this going until then . If they do dividends, I'd rather buy the price drop than get the massive dividend. I don't plan on holding MST* forever anyway.

I really would love to know what is going on though, I am sure something will popup in the next day or so, but so far it's dead quiet about it. My bots usually pick up stuff before most people, but so far I can't find anything.

I did see this the other day which I thought was really interesting. MSTY is basically MSTR with dividends. This shows a lot of retail wants in on MSTR but with regular distributions.

I'm really looking forward to seeing how this plays out.


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Yes there is something about with MSTX, it was on MSN news the last, I want to say, within the last week. I can't recall what the deal was as a new deal is arising almost everyday. I also can't remember if it was bad or good, meaning mentioned in an article of the Trump family's formation of taking over the crypto market, or some added to the mix or merger of another. I just read them, I barely understand them, but I read them to see what is being said and who is involved. I remember it because I remember asking myself what the hell that one was, never heard of it before. Try googling under MSN and see if anything pops up.

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What would you feel if I downvote your post for no reason like you did to mine ?

Good day @themarkymark
I noticed you downvoted my posts and I believe it's due to some mistakes on my path which I am absolutely sorry about. Please I am making an appeal that you reconsider your actions and pardon me. Thank you.

Hi @themarkymark, you downvoted my recent posts and that would be understandable because I might have made something wrong against TOS unintentionally. I have been active on this platform since 2018 (Since steemit time). I can be more careful next time if you say what was wrong with my posts. And also would you please "Unblacklist" may account. Best regards.

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Erklären Sie mir mal bitte, warum Sie meine Beiträge downvoten.

Ich würde gerne wissen, was dabei in ihrem Hirn vor sich geht?

Ich dachte vor 2 Jahren die Gründe dafür verstanden zu haben, welche bedauerlicherweise in ihrer Lebensgeschichte verborgen sind.

Lesen Sie überhaupt was in meinem Blog geschrieben wird oder ist ihr Voteverhalten einfach nur Ausdruck einer wie auch immer gearteten affektiven Störung, die eben die Ursache in ihren Kindheitserinnerungen hat.

Wenn es Ihnen hilft dieses Trauma zu überwinden, dann Voten sie ruhig weiter alles down, was ich publiziere.

Nur sollten Sie dabei vorher lesen, was geschrieben wird.

Hello @themarkyman
I understand you taking actions for people for faulter by going against some of the rules. But please I ask that you pardon me. I already had to deal with the @hivewatcher by declining my payout for 30 good days while making posts after which they took me off their list. You're the one that is left now. Please I ask that you just give me one more chance. Thank you

I'd help you if I could, but this may as well be a foreign language to me!

Right?

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This post has been shared on Reddit by @acidyo through the HivePosh initiative.

that went well

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Did you get a reason? Many sub are very quick to ban and remove posts from other sites, especially Hive.

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!LUV this share.
I'm curious to what will unfold. And I hope it serves you well.

My spider sense says that a #TooFuckeh war with Iran is imminent. We could see a major play on US Bond market. Is MSTR playing in the bond market?

All in #FUN

I have no idea what is happening. Best you ask Trump. !LOLZ

Why was the river rich?
Because it had two banks.

Credit: reddit
@themarkymark, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of fjworld

(3/10)

PLAY & EARN $DOOM

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@steevc @crimsonclad @azircon @meno please tell your racist friend to stop downvoting my original content for no reason 🤔

It's unbelievable that they downvoted this Goodbye Auntie R.I.P 🙏🏾

It has upset people who I can not control what they do next

Stop playing games you have been warned it won't end well

It's quite stupid because blocktrades is delegating to Buildawhale which means he has a big part to play in this 🤔

Can you please explain why you keep downvoting my original content as I said before I'm not going to reply unless you tell me why you keep downvoting my original content 🤔

It's clear blocktrades is behind this

@meno @steevc @crimsonclad @theycallmedan @azircon please have a word with your racist downvoting friend 🤔

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You know I'd go to bed and recall what it must have been, and I think that may be the one they were asking if it would be the next pump and dump. So input it that way and see if it comes up. Despite all the joyous overtures among crypto crowd, some are actually sounding the alarm on certain activities, there is definitely one that is going to get pumped and dumped on, or so they are suspecting recent activity on which ever one it was could be trending that way. I do remember I never heard of the one they were going to pump and dump if that's the case.

I figured out what it was, I thought it might be but didn't make sense at the time.

Yeah the next day I remembered it was ETH they were thinking may be up for a pump and dump. The MSTX was a Saylor related thing with Micro Strategy, here's an update of what's taken place if you haven't come across it yet.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/microstrategy-director-reportedly-cashes-out-all-shares-bags-10m/ar-AA1GFKmw?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=fe9a98ff0b39439ea9bf1b43ee2ebea5&ei=50

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Can you please explain why you keep downvoting my original content as I said before I'm not going to reply unless you tell me why you keep downvoting my original content 🤔

It's clear blocktrades is behind this

@meno @steevc @crimsonclad @theycallmedan @azircon please have a word with your racist

downvoting friend 🤔

Now with the downvote from blocktrades on my comment this confirms that blocktrades is running this whole thing thanks for exposing yourself 😂😂😂😂😂

Hello 👋🏾 @themarkymark aka @gogreenbuddy Aka @buildawhale Aka @punkteam Can you please explain to everyone why you keep downvoting my original content for no reason 🤔 as I keep saying I'm not going to reply to you until you give me the answer 🙏🏾

@meno @steevc @crimsonclad @azircon let's not forget blocktrades 😂 please tell your racist friend to stop downvoting my original content

It's unbelievable you downvoted this Goodbye Auntie R.I.P 🙏🏾 You fucked up big time it's clear blocktrades is in control 😂

Anything happening with Punks on hive? I noticed the sales history is not updating. Feel there is a lot of latent potential for this project

Ahh you are right, I will have a look at to why it isn't updated. Thanks for the heads up.

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I don’t believe there has been recent sales.

There is nothing planned at this point. I did plan to have a few games but things have changed.

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MSTX gave dividends well that's news to me

They don't usually, but Dec 31st 2024 they gave a massive $14+ per share div, this was to reduce the price and payout share holders. This caused the stock to drop a lot.

This is what ended up being what happened with my covered calls, I was buying up contracts from people who sold before this div event. This caused the contracts to be adjusted with a $1442.76 debt per contract, in addition to the typical 100 underlying shares.

With how much Michael Saylor has been buying Bitcoin, raising shares then buying more Bitcoin was surprised people wanted a payout.
Think the liquidation price was 20k in March but with how often they buy their average grows.

Well you didn't lose but if you want haha Class Action
https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/06/16/3099789/0/en/MICROSTRATEGY-INCORPORATED-NASDAQ-MSTR-SHAREHOLDER-ALERT-Bernstein-Liebhard-LLP-Reminds-MicroStrategy-Incorporated-Investors-of-Upcoming-Deadline.html

A lawsuit was filed in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia on behalf of investors who purchased or acquired the securities of Strategy between April 30, 2024 and April 4, 2025, inclusive., alleging violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 against the Company and certain of its senior officers.

According to the lawsuit, defendants made misrepresentations concerning the anticipated profitability of the Company's bitcoin-focused investment strategy and treasury operations.

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